10-Year Production Trajectory: Rising Stars & Fading Producers
The EU satsumas market experienced a major structural shift between 2016 and 2025. Spain, which has historically dominated European satsumas production, saw its output contract sharply from 211.4 thousand tonnes in 2016 to 91.0 thousand tonnes in 2025 — a decline of 57.0% at an annualised rate of −8.94%. Spanish production peaked at 211.4 thousand tonnes at the start of the decade and never recovered, with every year after 2016 falling below that mark. The lowest point came in 2023 at 87.2 thousand tonnes.
Three smaller producers moved in the opposite direction. Portugal increased output from 2.6 to 3.3 thousand tonnes, a 27.9% gain at a 2.77% CAGR. Italy began the decade with effectively no satsumas production but recorded output every year from 2020 onward, rising to 3.5 thousand tonnes by 2025 (a 6.31% CAGR from a near-zero base). Greece is the most dramatic newcomer: after showing negligible production through 2023, Greek satsumas output jumped to 8.9 thousand tonnes in 2024 and 9.5 thousand tonnes in 2025, rapidly becoming the second-largest source in the EU.
EU-27 aggregate data is partially available, showing a decline from 183.6 thousand tonnes in 2018 to 107.3 thousand tonnes in 2025, though several years carry missing values in the source dataset.
All values in 1,000 t. e = estimated, p = provisional. EU-27 totals as reported by Eurostat; N/A indicates years where the aggregate was not published.
| Country | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | Net Change (1 000 t) | Trajectory |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES | 211.4 | 149.0 | 180.8 | 145.1 | 147.6 | 136.6 | 96.6 | 87.2 | 103.2 | 91.0p | –8.94% | –120.4 | Declining |
| PT | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 3.3e | +2.77% | +0.7 | Ascending |
| IT | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 4.7 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 3.5p | +6.31% | +3.5 | Ascending |
| EL | 0.0e | 0.0e | 0.0e | 0.0e | 0.0e | 0.0e | 0.0e | 0.0e | 8.9e | 9.5e | — | +9.5 | Ascending |
| EU-27 | N/A | N/A | 183.6 | N/A | 153.0 | 142.1 | 104.1 | 93.9 | 119.2 | 107.3 | — | — | — |
Source: Eurostat apro_cpsh1, 2016–2025
Supply Stability Scorecard: Reliability Rankings
Among the four EU producers, supply reliability splits into two distinct tiers. Portugal is the most stable producer by a wide margin, with a coefficient of variation of just 8.74% — placing it in the “very stable” category. Its annual output has remained tightly clustered around the decade mean of 2.8 thousand tonnes, with a maximum single-year drawdown of −14.5%.
Spain, despite being the largest producer by volume, is classified as volatile (CV 28.82%). Its output swung from 211.4 thousand tonnes (2016) to a low of 87.2 thousand tonnes (2023), a maximum drawdown of −29.5%. Four of ten years fell below the decade mean.
Italy (CV 86.43%) and Greece (CV 199.33%) register as highly volatile, though this partly reflects their transition from near-zero to active production rather than erratic year-to-year swings. Italy’s output has been relatively steady since 2020 (range 2.6–4.7 thousand tonnes), while Greece’s dataset includes eight years of negligible production followed by two years of rapid growth.
CV < 10% = Very stable; CV 10–20% = Moderately stable; CV > 20% = Volatile.
| Country | Mean (1 000 t) | CV% | Max Drawdown% | Years Below Mean | Stability Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PT | 2.80 | 8.74% | –14.49% | 6 | 1 (Very stable) |
| ES | 134.85 | 28.82% | –29.53% | 4 | 2 (Volatile) |
| IT | 2.17 | 86.43% | –12.62% | 4 | 3 (Volatile) |
| EL | 1.84 | 199.33% | –100.00% | 8 | 4 (Volatile) |
Source: Eurostat apro_cpsh1, 2016–2025
Land Allocation Shift: 10-Year Cropland Transformation
The land dedicated to satsumas in the EU underwent a radical reconfiguration over the decade. Spain’s satsumas area contracted from 8.5 thousand hectares in 2016 to 4.5 thousand hectares in 2025 — a net loss of 4.0 thousand hectares (−46.6%) at an annualised rate of −6.73%. This contraction mirrors the production decline and suggests a structural reduction in Spanish satsumas cultivation rather than a temporary adjustment.
Meanwhile, the remaining three producers all expanded their satsumas area. Portugal’s tiny footprint edged up from 0.2 to 0.3 thousand hectares (+58.8%, +5.27%/yr). Italy, starting from zero area in 2016–2019, planted 0.2 thousand hectares by 2025 (+9.86%/yr). Greece recorded the most dramatic expansion: from negligible area through 2023 to 2.0 thousand hectares in 2025, emerging as the second-largest satsumas producer by land allocation behind Spain.
Comparing production CAGR against area CAGR reveals divergent strategies. In Portugal, production growth (+2.77%/yr) lagged area growth (+5.27%/yr), suggesting that expanding acreage has not yet translated into proportional output gains — possibly reflecting newly planted orchards yet to reach full maturity. In Italy and Greece, production and area expanded in tandem as these countries built their satsumas sectors from the ground up. Spain’s production decline (−8.94%/yr) closely tracked its area contraction (−6.73%/yr), with the output drop slightly outpacing the land reduction.
All values in 1,000 ha. e = estimated, p = provisional. EU-27 totals as reported.
| Country | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Net Change (1 000 ha) | Growth Rate | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.3 | 6.8 | 6.3 | 6.0 | 5.3 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 4.5p | –4.0 | –6.73% | Contracting |
| PT | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3e | +0.1 | +5.27% | Expanding |
| IT | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2p | +0.2 | +9.86% | Expanding |
| EL | 0.0e | 0.0e | 0.0e | 0.0e | 0.0e | 0.0e | 0.0e | 0.0e | 1.9e | 2.0e | +2.0 | — | Expanding |
| EU-27 | N/A | N/A | 8.4 | N/A | 6.5 | 6.3 | 5.7 | 5.3 | 7.2 | 6.9 | — | — | — |
Source: Eurostat apro_cpsh1, 2016–2025
EU Market Share: Who Dominates Satsuma Production?
The EU satsuma market is dominated by Spain, which produced over nine-tenths of all EU output. The four producing member states are all located in Southern Europe, reflecting the subtropical climate requirements of the crop.
Spain alone produced 514.6 thousand tonnes over the five-year period (102.9 thousand t/yr), a share that leaves all other member states with a marginal combined 9.2% of EU output. Italy and Greece each contributed roughly 3% of the total, at 19.1 thousand tonnes (3.8 thousand t/yr) and 18.4 thousand tonnes (3.7 thousand t/yr) respectively, while Portugal added 14.5 thousand tonnes (2.9 thousand t/yr). Turkey, though outside the EU, is the heavyweight of the wider region with 3,634 thousand tonnes (726.8 thousand t/yr), dwarfing the EU total.
| Member State | Total (1 000 t) | Annual Avg (1 000 t/yr) | % of EU Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 514.58 | 102.9 | 90.8% |
| Italy | 19.08 | 3.8 | 3.4% |
| Greece | 18.41 | 3.7 | 3.2% |
| Portugal | 14.53 | 2.9 | 2.6% |
| EU27 | 566.59 | 113.3 | 100% |
Source: Eurostat apro_cpsh1, 2016–2025
Agricultural Efficiency: Yield per Hectare
Direct yield data (tonnes per hectare) is not published as a separate indicator for satsumas in the Eurostat apro_cpsh1 dataset, but it can be calculated from the harvested production and area values.
Italy achieved the highest average yield at 23.3 t/ha over the five-year window, slightly ahead of Spain at 20.2 t/ha. Despite Spain’s enormous land area dedicated to satsumas (25.5 thousand hectares over five years) compared to Italy’s 0.8 thousand hectares, Italy demonstrates superior technical efficiency per hectare. Portugal recorded a moderate 12.9 t/ha, while Greece’s yield of 4.7 t/ha is notably lower, reflecting its recent and rapid expansion of satsuma area. Turkey’s calculated yield stands at approximately 29.0 t/ha (2024), the highest in the region.
| Member State | 5-Year Avg Yield (t/ha) | 2024 Yield (t/ha) |
|---|---|---|
| Italy | 23.3 | 23.8 |
| Spain | 20.2 | 21.5 |
| Portugal | 12.9 | 12.4 |
| Greece | 4.7 | 4.5 |
Source: Eurostat apro_cpsh1, 2016–2025
Regional and Climatic Divides Across Europe
Satsuma production in the EU is exclusively a Southern European and Mediterranean activity. No production is recorded in Western, Central, Northern, or Eastern European member states.
The Mediterranean bloc of Spain, Italy, and Greece accounts for 97.4% of all EU satsuma output. Portugal, on the Atlantic coast, adds the remaining 2.6%. This geographic concentration reflects the crop’s requirement for mild winters and warm, humid summers — conditions found almost exclusively in the southern fringe of the continent. By contrast, Turkey — a non-EU Mediterranean producer — operates on a vastly larger scale, with annual production approximately six times that of the entire EU.
| Region | Member States | Total (1 000 t) | Annual Avg (1 000 t/yr) | Share of EU |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mediterranean (South) | Spain, Italy, Greece | 552.07 | 110.4 | 97.4% |
| Atlantic (Southwest) | Portugal | 14.53 | 2.9 | 2.6% |
| Western / Central / Northern / Eastern | — | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0% |
Source: Eurostat apro_cpsh1, 2016–2025
Frequently Asked Questions
Which EU country has grown its satsumas production the fastest from 2016 to 2025?
Greece recorded the largest absolute increase, rising from near-zero output to 9.5 thousand tonnes by 2025, becoming the second-largest EU satsumas producer. Italy grew at a 6.31% CAGR from 2020 onward, while Portugal expanded at 2.77% per year. Spain was the steepest decliner, with output falling 57% over the decade.
Which country is the most stable satsumas supplier in the EU?
Portugal is the most reliable satsumas producer, with a coefficient of variation of just 8.74% — the only producer in the “very stable” category. Its annual output has remained tightly clustered around the decade mean of 2.8 thousand tonnes.
Is EU satsumas farmland expanding or shrinking?
EU satsumas area is shifting geographically. Spain’s satsumas farmland contracted by 46.6% (–4.0 thousand hectares) between 2016 and 2025. In contrast, Greece expanded from negligible area to 2.0 thousand hectares, while Italy and Portugal also added modest acreage, pointing to a geographic rebalancing of production within the EU.
Which EU country produces the most satsumas?
Spain is the dominant EU producer, accounting for 514.6 thousand tonnes or 90.8% of total EU satsuma output between 2021 and 2025.
How does Turkey’s satsuma production compare to the EU?
Turkey produced 3,634 thousand tonnes of satsumas over the same five-year period — 6.4 times the entire EU27 total — making it the largest producer in the wider European region.
Why is Greek satsuma production so volatile?
Greek production was near zero from 2021 to 2023, then surged to 8.9 thousand tonnes in 2024 and 9.5 thousand tonnes in 2025 (both estimated). This reflects a rapid expansion of cultivated area from effectively zero to nearly 2 thousand hectares.
Source data extracted from Eurostat dataset apro_cpsh1.
This article was generated using AI. The content is based on Eurostat data and is provided as a starting point — please verify all data with the original source.


